EFERT showed strong results in 2Q

IMS Research recently reviewed Engro Fertilizer Ltd’s (EFERT) fiscal performance for 2QCY25. EFERT reported NPAT of PKR 5.6 billion (EPS: PKR 4.17), which is a significant increase of 3.3x YoY and 92% QoQ, largely due to a 40% increase in Urea offtake. The company declared an interim cash dividend of PKR 4.25/sh, totaling PKR 6.25.

Key Takeaways:

– EFERT’s Urea market share rose to 34% in 2Q, aided by competitive pricing despite higher gas costs. The upcoming Rabi season is expected to alleviate Urea inventory pressures.

– The DAP segment faced challenges due to rising international prices, limiting the company’s ability to pass costs to consumers and resulting in losses in 1QCY25.

– Other income increased significantly due to a gain on the sale of an aircraft.

– The US$300 million Production Enhancement Facility project is on track, with Phase 1 expected to be completed by August 2025.

– Four operational Engro Markaz in Punjab are delivering fertilizer directly to farmers, with plans for further expansion.

**Outlook:**

Management anticipates continued depressed fertilizer offtake due to the lack of support prices for crops and climate change impacts. Despite high working capital needs, they remain confident in maintaining a 100% payout policy, subject to Board approval.

Overall, EFERT showed strong results in 2Q, and we expect this trend to continue into 2HCY25. Forecasts estimate a profit of PKR 19.18 with a DPS of PKR 19, resulting in a DY of 9.3%. We maintain a Neutral stance on the stock. TP of PKR205/sh.

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