The financial system showed steady performance and soundness, according to the SBP Financial Stability Review 2023

State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) has issued its annual flagship publication, the Financial Stability Review (FSR) for CY2023, which is prepared and published in terms of requirements prescribed in sub-section (3) of section 39 of the State Bank of Pakistan Act, 1956 as amended in January 2022. The Review presents the performance and risk assessment of various segments of the financial sector, including banks, Microfinance banks (MFBs), non-bank financial institutions (NBFIs), insurance, financial markets and financial market infrastructures (FMIs). It also assesses the financial soundness of major credit and financial services users, viz., the non-financial corporate sector.

 

The Review highlights that the macroeconomic environment remained challenging amid rising inflation, weak FX inflows and pressures on external accounts and local currency, and low business confidence, particularly in the first half of CY2023. However, the policy measures and regulatory interventions taken to address growing imbalances coupled with securing a nine-month Stand-by-Agreement (SBA) from IMF helped improve the macroeconomic conditions in the second half of CY2023. Inflation started falling, economic growth recovered, and the exchange rate stabilised towards the year’s end. In this backdrop, the financial sector exhibited strong growth and performance and maintained its financial soundness and operational resilience. The asset base of the financial industry expanded by 27.0 percent in CY2023, mainly driven by the banking sector.

 

While volatility in financial markets remained high, the financial sector, particularly the banking sector, remained resilient and grew by 29.5 per cent during the review period, notes the Review. The asset growth was primarily driven by investments in government securities, while private sector advances contracted in the backdrop of stressed macro-financial conditions. The banks’ balance sheet expansion was mainly funded by deposits, which posted a 20-year high growth in a high-return environment. The credit risk, nonetheless, did not present serious concern as the non-performing loans (NPLs) to loans ratio marginally increased to 7.6 per cent by the end of December 2023 from 7.3 per cent in December 2022, and the provisioning coverage further improved to 92.7 per cent. The banking sector’s earnings remained healthy on the back of high rates and expansion in earning assets, supporting the solvency position. Accordingly, the capital adequacy ratio (CAR) improved to 19.7 per cent by December 2023, remaining well above the minimum regulatory requirement. The Islamic banking institutions continued to maintain growth momentum in CY2023 as well. With strong earnings and comfortable asset quality indicators, the resilience of the Islamic banks further improved. However, the microfinance banks (MFBs) sector continued to experience stress in CY2023.

 

The Review reveals that the non-bank financial sector also performed well during CY2023. The asset base of Development Finance Institutions (DFIs) and Non-Bank Financial Institutions (NBFIs) observed strong expansion. Moreover, despite a slowdown in economic activity, the insurance sector witnessed growth in assets and gross premiums.

 

The overall position of the non-financial corporate sector was encouraging, as solvency indicators and repayment capacity remained satisfactory. The large borrowers of the banking sector exhibited stable repayment capacity, and there were no significant delinquencies during the year under review.

 

The FSR also highlights the operational resilience of Financial Market Infrastructures (FMIs) during CY2023. The e-banking transactions continued to drive growth in retail payments. Importantly, SBP moved to implement the third phase of Raast’s person-to-merchant (P2M) mode to facilitate digital payment acceptance for merchants and businesses.

 

Considering the rapidly evolving dynamics of risks to financial stability, SBP continues to strengthen its regulatory and supervisory regime proactively. As we advance, overall risks to financial stability appear to be manageable due to the anticipated moderation of macroeconomic stress and strong buffers and risk management capabilities of the banking sector. The latest stress test results suggest that the banking sector has adequate resilience to withstand the severe but plausible macro-financial shocks in the medium term. However, policy continuity on structural reforms remains critical for both sustained improvement in the country’s macroeconomic fundamentals and the resilience and performance of the financial sector.

 

The Financial Stability Review 2023 can be accessed at:     

https://www.sbp.org.pk/FSR/2023/index.htm

 

 

                 

 

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